Conf = B1G ------ State = D
Mascot = Blue Jays ------ Coach = Peter MillimanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5662766 home-field advantage = -0.96 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 202 H Robert Morris NEC (14- 3, 91.4) 17- 2 210 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 13-11 214 H Loyola Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 13- 7 220 A North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.8) 9-17 228 A Virginia ACC (10- 6, 98.7) 14-13 307 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 8-12 314 H Navy Patriot ( 7- 7, 93.9) 14-10 321 H Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.4) 14- 8 329 A Rutgers B1G ( 8- 7, 94.2) 8- 9 404 H Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.3) 11-10 411 A Ohio State B1G (10- 4, 95.8) 6- 7 418 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.7) 9- 8 430 N Michigan B1G ( 5- 9, 94.4) 14-12 502 N Penn State B1G ( 9- 5, 99.3) 8-16 509 A Cornell Ivy (11- 4, 98.4)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 202 H Robert Morris 17- 2 15 6 0.89 210 H Towson 13-11 2 2 -0.28 214 H Loyola 13- 7 6 3 + 2.79 220 A North Carolina 9-17 -8 -3 - -3.85 228 A Virginia 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.02 307 H Syracuse 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.92 314 H Navy 14-10 4 3 0.36 321 H Michigan 14- 8 6 3 + 2.87 329 A Rutgers 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.44 404 H Penn State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.75 411 A Ohio State 6- 7 -1 0 -0.85 418 H Maryland 9- 8 1 0 1.13 430 N Michigan 14-12 2 2 -0.18 502 N Penn State 8-16 -8 -2 -- -4.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 N Penn State 8-16 -8 -2 -- -4.29 220 A North Carolina 9-17 -8 -3 - -3.85 307 H Syracuse 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.92 329 A Rutgers 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Virginia 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.02 214 H Loyola 13- 7 6 3 + 2.79 321 H Michigan 14- 8 6 3 + 2.87 404 H Penn State 11-10 1 -1 + 2.75
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.60 Power Rank................. 15 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.78 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6644 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 10 RPI Rating............... .6242 RPI Rank................... 8 Champ. Probability ...... 1.1 Championship Rank ......... 12 Selection sum ........... 30 Selection Rank ............ 9 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 12 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7